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The Gulf States’ Nightmare Scenario

Der Spiegel‘s Middle East correspondent Bernhard Zand offered a sobering assessment: the current situation is “exactly what the Gulf states did not want.” While the ceasefire brought momentary relief, the region’s monarchies find themselves caught between an unpredictable American president, an emboldened Iran, and an Israel seemingly willing to act unilaterally regardless of broader diplomatic efforts.

The core problem, analysts suggest, is that the ceasefire addresses symptoms rather than causes. Iran’s nuclear ambitions remain unresolved. Israel’s willingness to strike its neighbors persists. And the United States, having “forced” the truce according to multiple accounts, appears to lack a coherent long-term strategy for the region.

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